National Security Overview 2026

Foreword

Competent intelligence is in Finland’s best interest

The global security environment and Finland

The end of the war will not change the character of Russia
Growing tensions in the Baltic Sea
China aims to become a global leader by exploiting others
Race for resources shifts from oil to critical minerals
Cloud adoption obscures the digital independence of states
Continuing instability in the Middle East has extensive repercussions

Espionage and influencing

Overview of state espionage and influencing
Espionage can rob a start-up of its future
How to recruit a saboteur
Generative artificial intelligence enhances the efficiency of influencing activities

Terrorism

National Terrorism Threat Assessment 2026
The growing importance of new generations and technologies in terrorist activity
Segregation of residential areas creates new threats to national security

The year at SUPO

The Finnish Security and Intelligence Service renews its strategy to respond to an uncertain security environment
The new headquarters completed for SUPO is the most secure building in Finland
People conducting security clearance vetting encounter Finns face-to-face
SUPO intelligence analysts need to be able to make bold assessments